Connect with Zorays

Hi, what are you looking for?

Economy & Markets

Pakistan’s Debt Crisis Is About Expenditure, Not Taxes — And PSX Knows It

Pakistan’s debt crisis isn’t about taxes. It’s about spending, debt servicing, and why PSX already prices this reality.

Cost-push inflation diagnosis, fiscal spiral mechanics
  • A Suzuki Cultus once cost ≈ PKR 550,000

  • Today, it costs PKR 4–4.5 million

Tax receipts rose because prices exploded, not because productive capacity multiplied. The same logic applies across consumption taxes, import duties, and income brackets distorted by inflation and currency depreciation.

Observation: Higher nominal taxes do not fix balance sheets when the cost of the state compounds faster.


Where the Money Actually Goes: The Expenditure Reality

This is where the debate usually ends — because the numbers are hard to defend.

Major Federal Expenditures (FY25–26)

Category Allocation (PKR)
Debt Servicing (Total) ≈ 74.1% of federal net revenues
Defense 2.55 trillion
Pensions 1.055 trillion
Subsidies 1.186 trillion
Grants & Transfers 1.778 trillion
Development (PSDP) 2.869 trillion
Total Current Expenditure 16.286 trillion

Critical detail:
Domestic debt interest alone accounts for ≈ 87.7% of total interest outlays.

This is a classic debt-servicing spiral:

  • Borrow more → pay higher interest

  • Pay higher interest → collect more taxes

  • Collect more taxes → still borrow more

At this point, taxation is no longer developmental. It is maintenance spending.

Pages: 1 2 3 4 5 6

Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

You May Also Like

Economy & Markets

KSE-100 is trading at 9–10x earnings. A data-driven PSX valuation analysis using historical P/E bands, macro stress, and capital-cycle context.

Economy & Markets

Demand exists beyond financial hubs Awareness is spreading via social media Friction, not interest, is the binding constraint Crypto vs PSX: The Real Comparison...

Economy & Markets

Why interest rates dominate PSX returns. A data-driven breakdown of how rate cycles reshape banking, energy, fertilizers, and valuations on Pakistan’s stock market.

Business & Startups

Pakistan signs a stablecoin MoU with Trump-linked World Liberty Financial. Innovation or risk? Here’s what it means for remittances, regulation, and trust.

Economy & Markets

Fertilizer stocks on PSX are not about demand growth — they are about who survives policy cycles with margins intact. EFERT currently does that...

Economy & Markets

Pakistan Stock Exchange outlook for 2026 explained through policy, interest rates, and sector rotation. A data-driven PSX analysis.

Economy & Markets

How Khaleda Zia’s political legacy, institutional balance, and export-led economics helped stabilize the Bangladeshi Taka—while authoritarian rule collapsed under student-led resistance.

Advertisement

🔥 -- people are active on zorayskhalid.com
Top
Exit mobile version