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One success improves seismic confidence
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Geological risk declines for nearby prospects
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Capital efficiency improves
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Exploration success rates rise
This is not speculation. It is how every producing basin in the world evolved.
A Necessary Detour: What Kekra-1 Actually Taught Pakistan
To understand why Biltang-1 matters, Pakistan must first understand Kekra-1.
In 2022, a high-profile offshore drilling attempt was undertaken in the Indus G-Block (Kekra-1), offshore Karachi, through a joint venture involving ExxonMobil, ENI, Oil & Gas Development Company Limited, and Pakistan Petroleum Limited.
The result?
No commercial discovery.
The reaction?
Public disappointment—bordering on fatalism.
That reaction was misplaced.
Oil & Gas Exploration: Failure Is the Default, Not the Exception
Globally, oil exploration success rates average just 30–40%—even with cutting-edge technology, elite geoscientists, and billion-dollar budgets.
Context matters:
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Saudi Arabia found oil on its 7th drilling attempt
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Libya struck oil after 58 attempts
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India discovered major offshore oil only on its 43rd well, now producing over 350,000 barrels/day
Kekra-1 was not a failure of ambition.
It was a statistical reality of exploration.
And importantly, it did not invalidate Pakistan’s geology—it refined it.
