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Pakistan–Sudan Defence Talks: Separating Facts from Noise, and Why the $1.5 B Deal Is Plausible

Pakistan defence exports, Sudan sanctions, JF-17 Thunder, Reuters Pakistan Sudan deal, Saudi defence financing, arms sanctions, SAF RSF conflict, military procurement geopolitics.

1) What the reporting actually says (and what it doesn’t)

Reuters reported that Pakistan is near a $1.5 billion deal to supply weapons and aircraft to Sudan, citing multiple sources. It does not claim:

  • a cash-on-table purchase by Khartoum,

  • a $15 billion figure,

  • or unilateral Chinese sales bypassing Pakistan.

Those distortions came later—mostly via social media amplification and selective misquoting.


2) Why Sudan would look to Pakistan under sanctions pressure

Sudan is operating under layered UN, EU, US and UK sanctions related to the civil war between the SAF and RSF. These constraints:

  • shut conventional Western suppliers out,

  • raise transaction costs and compliance risk,

  • and push buyers toward non-Western channels that can structure deliveries, training, spares, and financing creatively.

Pakistan sits in that narrow corridor: experienced exporter to sanctioned or semi-sanctioned environments, with a track record of government-to-government defence arrangements and end-user controlled frameworks.


3) The financing question: no, Sudan isn’t writing a cheque

The most common objection—“Who in Sudan has $1.5 billion?”—misses how modern defence deals work.

Three mechanisms matter:

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