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KSE-100 index hits sharp decline

Economy & Markets

Will PSX Crash? PSX Volatility, Investor Psychology & Pakistan’s Optimal Economic Response

PSX volatility amid Iran tensions is not a structural crisis. Here’s how disciplined investors and policymakers should respond.

Structural vs Cyclical

This is cyclical volatility tied to geopolitical headlines.

It is not:

• A banking crisis
• A sovereign default event
• A systemic currency collapse

Real interest rates are positive. IMF program anchors policy. Corporate profitability remains intact in many defensive sectors.

Holding valuation-based quality earnings for 2–4 years has historically outperformed tactical panic exits.


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