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The Middle Eastern Cold War Between MBS and MBZ Isn’t Cold Anymore

Saudi–UAE tensions in Yemen have moved from quiet divergence to open confrontation. An EEAT-driven analysis of MBS vs MBZ, Mukalla strikes, Gulf security, and why Pakistan must balance interests without choosing camps.

Yemen's Mukalla Port

Why Pakistan Cannot Play a Double Game

Here’s where Islamabad must be careful.

Pakistan has:

  • A strategic defense framework with Saudi Arabia

  • Deep economic and expatriate links with the UAE

  • Painful historical lessons about ambiguous positioning

The Iraq–Kuwait Precedent

In 1990, regional actors tried to hedge—maintaining ties with both Iraq and Kuwait.
Those who delayed clarity paid economically, diplomatically, and reputationally.

Pakistan cannot:

  • Endorse Saudi security concerns and

  • Remain silent on actions Riyadh deems existential threats

But Pakistan also must not:

  • Become a proxy

  • Be dragged into Yemen militarily

  • Reduce foreign policy to Gulf binaries

The correct posture is principled alignment without operational entanglement.


What Pakistan Should Do (and Not Do)

Do:

  • Support Saudi Arabia’s right to defend its national security

  • Advocate Yemen’s unity and political settlement

  • Offer mediation, not muscle

  • Keep diplomatic channels open with all Gulf partners

  • Reaffirm that Pakistan’s defense agreements are defensive, not expeditionary

Do Not:

  • Pick camps publicly in a way that forecloses diplomacy

  • Participate in proxy conflicts

  • Fear UAE’s US $ 3 Billion parked
  • Allow Pakistani territory, manpower, or credibility to be used indirectly

Defence cooperation is not subcontracted warfare.


This Is Not the End — But It Is the End of Illusions

Saudi–UAE tensions did not begin in Yemen:

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