| Component | Estimated Cost |
|---|---|
| Crude oil cost (~$91/barrel) | ~Rs160 per liter |
| Refining cost | ~Rs20 |
| Transport and distribution | ~Rs15 |
| OMC + dealer margins | ~Rs12 |
| Industry cost estimate | ~Rs205 per liter |
Based on this calculation, anything above roughly Rs205 per liter is largely attributed to government taxes and petroleum levies.
This simplified model circulated widely across social media discussions and fueled the argument that taxation rather than crude oil cost is the main driver of Pakistan’s petrol price.
Official Market Estimates
Other estimates from market analysts and financial institutions present a slightly different breakdown.
According to recent calculations attributed to Arif Habib Limited and OGRA data, the structure appears closer to:
| Component | Approximate Value |
|---|---|
| Ex-refinery base price | ~Rs191 |
| Petroleum levy | ~Rs105 |
| IFEM + OMC / dealer margins | ~Rs25 |
| Minor adjustments | Small |
| Total pump price | ~Rs321 per liter |
Even with this more conservative estimate, the conclusion remains the same:
Taxes and levies account for a substantial share of the pump price.
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