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Can Pakistan still qualify for the Worldcup 2023 semifinals?

Again resorting to ifs and buts, as usual. Certainly, Pakistan still has a chance to qualify for the semifinals. However, it’s imperative that they win all the remaining matches decisively to secure their spot. The team must bring out their best performance to outshine their rivals in the upcoming games. Otherwise, to be honest, the odds become exceedingly slim. Nevertheless, regardless of the outcome, the essence and sportsmanship of the game will persist.

While mathematically it’s still possible, in practical terms, it seems unlikely. Pakistan holds the best record against South Africa, Bangladesh, New Zealand, and England in the World Cup. This gives rise to a strong hope that Pakistan will emerge victorious in all the remaining matches. At the same time, we can expect more defeats in the next four matches due to form. This observation is not based on hatred, but rather on what’s been observed. Weak captaincy and average fielding won’t lead the team to success.

If Pakistan manages to win all of their remaining four matches, either New Zealand, South Africa, or Australia will be eliminated from the top four. However, for this scenario to unfold, Pakistan will need some other results to go in their favor.

For Pakistan to have a chance:

  1. They need to win all their remaining games (although it seems unlikely).
  2. Australia must lose at least two out of their next five games (which is possible as England and NZ can defeat them).
  3. Afghanistan needs to lose at least one more game (which is possible against SA or AUS).
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Keep in mind that these conditions would result in a higher chance of an upset:

Pakistan World Cup Qualification Conditions

Conditions for Pakistan to Qualify:

Conditions Yes/No
Pakistan Wins All Matches Yes
Australia Loses to NZ Yes
Australia Loses to Eng Yes
SA Loses to NZ Yes
SA Loses to India Yes
NZ Loses to Aus Yes
NZ Loses to SA Yes
NZ Loses to One Other Yes
India Loses All Matches Yes
Chances of Upset Higher Chance

Australia have played one match less than Pakistan, yet their points are equal. Pakistan’s objective is to catch up with Australia. It’s anticipated that New Zealand will secure a victory against Australia. Therefore, Pakistan must focus on winning their remaining four matches with good run rates. Based on the upcoming matches, Pakistan will face the following teams:

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