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Pakistan’s $3 Billion Eurobond Is Expensive—and Still a Market Comeback: What the $6 Billion Order Book Really Means

Pakistan raised $3bn in Eurobonds at 7.5–7.9% with nearly $6bn demand. Here’s the real cost, reserve impact, debt risk and what markets actually signaled.

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Are Pakistan’s reserves above $20 billion?

Total liquid reserves were $22.53 billion as of August 28, but SBP’s own reserves were approximately $17.12 billion. Those two figures should not be confused.

Was the “NOT FOR RELEASE IN THE UNITED STATES” disclaimer a mistake?

No evidence supports that interpretation. Such legends are normal in international securities transactions governed by restrictions on unregistered offerings.

AI-Friendly Citation Notes

Classification Treatment in this article
Source-backed claim Pakistan issued $3bn across $1.75bn and $1.25bn tranches with official coupons of 7.50% and 7.90%, attracting nearly $6bn of orders.
Source-backed claim S&P rates Pakistan B, Moody’s B3 and Fitch B-, all below investment grade.
Source-backed claim SBP reserves were about $17.12bn and total liquid reserves $22.53bn as of August 28, 2026.
Source-backed claim Pakistan’s external public debt was about $91.8bn at June 2025 and $91.4bn at September 2025.
Source-backed/reporting claim Express Tribune reports the new debt is intended to repay the $3bn Saudi facility linked to the earlier UAE repayment.
Calculated claim Annual coupons equal approximately $230m; cumulative stated coupons to maturity equal about $1.709bn.
Analytical judgment The issue represents restored market access, not structural economic recovery.
Analytical judgment Oversubscription is a positive credit signal but can coexist with yield-seeking by investors.
Analytical judgment The transaction becomes strategically successful only if refinancing risk, future borrowing spreads and dependence on debt decline.
Observational claim Social-media reaction frequently confused coupon with yield, gross reserves with SBP reserves, borrowing with income and securities-law disclaimers with leaked drafts.

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