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Would a ban automatically leave Britain without diesel? No. Britain imports from multiple countries. A major loss of US supply could make replacement barrels more expensive and harder to secure, but a nationwide run-out cannot be inferred from import shares alone. GOV.UK
Would more North Sea oil settle the diesel question? Domestic oil production may matter, but available refining capacity, the type of crude, product yields and distribution matter too. The UK has historically imported diesel even while refining and exporting other petroleum products. GOV.UK
What should people watch next? Watch for an actual US policy announcement, refinery operating data, changes in distillate inventories, UK import and stock reporting, and comparable forecourt price samples. Each answers a different part of the question.
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