Connect with Zorays

Hi, what are you looking for?

Economy & Markets

You Cannot 25-Basis-Point a Chokepoint: The Brutal Economic Truth Behind the “Straits Taylor Rule”

Economy & Markets

Pakistan’s Rs100 Petrol Relief: Good Politics, Dangerous Economics — and What It Means If Oil Keeps Rising

Economy & Markets

Who Really Won the Pearl-Continental Battle? Inside the Hashwani Share Dispute, the Reported Hotel Split and Pakistan’s Investor-Confidence Problem

Economy & Markets

Pakistan’s $3 Billion Eurobond Is Expensive—and Still a Market Comeback: What the $6 Billion Order Book Really Means

Economy & Markets

Naya Nazimabad Apartment REIT at Rs23: Is Pakistan’s 8x Oversubscribed REIT IPO Actually Worth Buying?

Economy & Markets

APAG IPO at Rs33: Should PSX Investors Subscribe to the Soya Supreme Offering?

Economy & Markets

Moody’s Upgrades Pakistan to B3: No, This Is Not a Certificate of “Good Governance”

Economy & Markets

Pakistan’s Debt-to-GDP Ratio Has Fallen to 68.3% — But Is the Stable Rupee Doing the Heavy Lifting?

Economy & Markets

Did Imran Khan’s Hospital Transfer Move PSX? What the KSE-100 Actually Priced

Economy & Markets

How to Analyze PSX Stocks Like an Institutional Investor: A Framework for Research, Portfolio Construction and Avoiding the Tipster Trap

Economy & Markets

Pakistan Is Paying Rs30 Billion for PIA Debt—But Not for the Privatised Airline

Economy & Markets

SereneAir Is Not Dead Yet—but Hope Is Not an Aircraft

Economy & Markets

Beyond the Clouds: Why Airblue’s Islamabad MRO Hangar Could Rebuild Pakistan’s Aviation Ecosystem

Economy & Markets

Pakistani Freelancers Are Exporters—and Pakistan Must Stop Treating Them Like Side-Hustlers

Economy & Markets

Tasdeeq IPO: Pakistan Is About to List a Business Most Investors Never Knew They Were Already Depending On

Economy & Markets

PTCL Already Owns U Bank—So Why Is the Market Betting It Wants Easypaisa?

Economy & Markets

Pakistan’s $10 Billion US Backstop Is Not Begging—and SBP’s $22.68 Billion Reserve Figure Does Not Make Reuters Fake

Economy & Markets

Is Crypto Haram in Islam? Mufti Taqi Usmani’s Fatwa, Bitcoin, USDT and the Real Shariah Debate

Economy & Markets

Pakistan’s Loralai Olive Oil Gold Is Not a Side Story. It Is an Export Warning Shot.

Economy & Markets

Rafhan Maize and Nishat Group: Why Pakistan's Most Important Acquisition May Not Be About the Purchase Price

Economy & Markets

Pakistan Is One Country, But Not One AC Market: What Karachi and Lahore Dealers Teach About Disruption

Economy & Markets

UBL's Rs2.24 Billion Insider Bet: Why Pakistan's Banking Sector May Still Be in the Early Stages of Its Next Cycle

Economy & Markets

FFC’s Insider Buy, Thar Coal-to-Urea, and the Real Fertilizer Story Pakistan Investors Should Not Misread

Economy & Markets

Pakistan’s Most Important Fintech Product May Not Be a Wallet. It May Be a Treasury Bill.

Economy & Markets

The Viral Pakistani Top Cities Lifestyle Ranking That Everyone Is Fighting Over — But Almost Nobody Can Defend

Economy & Markets

PML-N’s Manifesto Promised Inclusive Growth. FY25 Shows Stabilization Bought From the Salaried Class.

Economy & Markets

SLM Tyres IPO: Pakistan’s Market Just Proved Liquidity Was Never Missing, Credible Stories Were

Economy & Markets

SadaPay’s WHT Refund Win Has Exposed a Bigger Problem Nobody Wants to Address

Economy & Markets

Pakistan’s Petrol Price Shock: Why a 28-Day Oil Reserve Didn’t Prevent an Immediate Fuel Hike

Economy & Markets

Unity Foods, Wilmar, and the Illusion of Stability: A Forensic Look at Pakistan’s Most Misread Food Stock

Economy & Markets

Will PSX Crash? PSX Volatility, Investor Psychology & Pakistan’s Optimal Economic Response

Economy & Markets

How IMF Programs Actually Move PSX: Short-Term Relief vs Long-Term Reality

Economy & Markets

PSX Moves to T+1 Settlement: Why February 9, 2026 Changes Everything

Economy & Markets

Pakistan Repays Loan Over PKR 3,650 Billion Debt Before Time

Economy & Markets

How IMF Programs Historically Impact the Pakistan Stock Exchange

Economy & Markets

Silver’s $117 Spike Isn’t a Victory Lap. It’s a Macro Stress Test — and Bitcoin Is Watching

Economy & Markets

Is PSX Cheap or Just Stuck?

Economy & Markets

Why Pakistan Has 20 Million Crypto Users but Fewer Than 500,000 Stock Market Investors

Economy & Markets

Pakistan’s Debt Crisis Is About Expenditure, Not Taxes — And PSX Knows It

Economy & Markets

Why Interest Rates Matter More Than PSX Earnings

Economy & Markets

Fertilizer Stocks on PSX: EFERT vs FFC vs FATIMA — Gas Policy, Margins, and the Reality Behind the Numbers

Economy & Markets

Commodities, Not Headlines: How Copper, Oil & Gas, and Fertilizer Actually Move PSX Earnings

Economy & Markets

Pakistan Worker Remittances Hit $3.6 Billion in December 2025 — Up 16.5%

Economy & Markets

SYSTEMS LTD: Insider Selling, Valuation Signals, and How Smart Investors Read the Data

Economy & Markets

PSX Outlook 2026: Capital Preservation, Not Aggressive Growth

Economy & Markets

How Khalida Zia made Bangladeshi Takka become more Economically Stable?

Economy & Markets

A Signature That Will Outlive Dr Shamshad Akhtar

Economy & Markets

Mir Ali Khan: A Scoundrel

Economy & Markets

The B2B Buyer Has Changed. Most Businesses Haven’t (2025–2026 Reality Check)

Economy & Markets

The Plumbing: How a Normal Pakistani Can Actually Start PSX Trading (Without Fancy Talk)

Economy & Markets

Pakistan’s Stock Market Is Up Over 47% in 2025

Economy & Markets

Customer Lead Generation in a World where Customers have Options

Economy & Markets

Pakistani Corruption a Rare Love Story

Economy & Markets

Special Investment Facilitation Council (SIFC) Faces Backlash Over Asset Sales in Pakistan

Economy & Markets

Syed Asim Munir Shah: The Visionary Driving Pakistan's Economic Renaissance

Economy & Markets

Ensuring Transparency and Accountability: Strengthening ICAP for a Stronger Pakistan

Economy & Markets

How to Boost Your Success on Upwork and Outrank Competitors

Economy & Markets

The Journey of Russian Oil to Pakistan: A Closer Look at the Shipping Process

Economy & Markets

Unleashing Entrepreneurial Success: The Principles of Venture Design

Economy & Markets

Products and goods that can increase Pakistan global export index?

Economy & Markets

Rumors of Pakistan Economy Default until IMF Loans Return

Economy & Markets

You Cannot 25-Basis-Point a Chokepoint: The Brutal Economic Truth Behind the “Straits Taylor Rule”

Why the “Straits Taylor Rule” went viral, what it gets right about oil shocks, and why Pakistan cannot interest-rate-hike energy insecurity.

Post Views: 1,593
Published

and it takes 10–11 minutes to read.
You Cannot 25-Basis-Point a Chokepoint: The Brutal Economic Truth Behind the “Straits Taylor Rule”

Share the post "You Cannot 25-Basis-Point a Chokepoint: The Brutal Economic Truth Behind the “Straits Taylor Rule”"

Is the Straits Taylor Rule a real economic model?

No. It is a geopolitical parody of the Taylor Rule. Its conceptual point is serious, but its additional variables and coefficients have not been formally defined, estimated or validated.

Is r∗r^* really a Hormuz risk premium?

No. Geopolitical risk can affect financial conditions and equilibrium estimates, but the neutral real interest rate is a broader, unobservable macroeconomic concept. Treating it as a premium controlled by one chokepoint is deliberately provocative rhetoric.

Can Iran determine global oil prices by controlling Hormuz?

Iran can influence perceived and actual supply risk, but it cannot unilaterally determine the final price. Markets respond through inventories, alternative suppliers, demand destruction, rerouting, sanctions discounts and infrastructure adaptation.

Share the post "You Cannot 25-Basis-Point a Chokepoint: The Brutal Economic Truth Behind the “Straits Taylor Rule”"

READ:   Kashmir Banay Ga Pakistan in light of Indo-Pak War 1965 Short note

Pages: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

In this article:, , , , , , ,
Social Hashtags:
#EnergySecurity, #Inflation, #Iran, #IranWar, #OilPrices, #Pakistan, #PakistanEconomy, #PakistanFirst, #RenewableEnergy, #SmartGrids, #SolarEnergy, #Strait_of_Hormuz, #Yemen
if ( function_exists( 'pgntn_display_pagination' ) ) pgntn_display_pagination( 'multipage' );
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

You May Also Like

JCB removing security barriers outside Pakistan High Commission in New Delhi during India-Pakistan diplomatic dispute JCB removing security barriers outside Pakistan High Commission in New Delhi during India-Pakistan diplomatic dispute

World Affairs

Bulldozer Diplomacy: Why India’s High Commission in Islamabad Now Deserves Lawful Reciprocity

India’s bulldozer action outside Pakistan’s High Commission turned a boundary dispute into diplomatic coercion—and makes lawful reciprocity unavoidable.

August 21, 2026

World Affairs

India Calls It a “So-Called Court.” The Indus Waters Treaty Does Not Disappear Because New Delhi Says So

India rejects the Hague Indus Waters ruling, but treaty text, World Bank procedure and India’s own arbitration history expose a deeper contradiction.

September 2, 2026
Narendra Modi Delhi to Tashkent flight detouring through China while Pakistan airspace remains closed to Indian aircraft. Narendra Modi Delhi to Tashkent flight detouring through China while Pakistan airspace remains closed to Indian aircraft.

World Affairs

Modi’s Tashkent Detour Exposes the Price India Pays to Bypass Pakistan

Modi’s extraordinary Delhi-Tashkent detour exposes what maps cannot hide: Pakistan’s airspace remains strategically expensive for India to bypass.

August 31, 2026
US Ambassador Sergio Gor speaking in Srinagar beside a contested Kashmir map and United Nations document backdrop US Ambassador Sergio Gor speaking in Srinagar beside a contested Kashmir map and United Nations document backdrop

World Affairs

Sergio Gor Called Kashmir an “Important Part of India.” He Did Not Rewrite International Law

Sergio Gor called Kashmir part of India. Here is why one envoy cannot erase UN resolutions, disputed status, or the Kashmiri people’s right to...

August 20, 2026
Pakistan D-248 and jet-powered loitering munitions compared with India’s proposed turboprop HALE combat drone Pakistan D-248 and jet-powered loitering munitions compared with India’s proposed turboprop HALE combat drone

Technology & AI

Pakistan vs India Drone Technology: The Real Race Between Flight Hardware and Exhibition Models

Pakistan’s D-248, S-369, Nimbus2K and HiMark-25 challenge India’s drone ambitions—but displayed models and flight tests demand different conclusions.

3 days ago
Abhinandan Varthaman, Pakistan Air Force F-16 and recovered MiG-21 missiles as the disputed 2019 F-16 claim resurfaces after his move to FLY91. Abhinandan Varthaman, Pakistan Air Force F-16 and recovered MiG-21 missiles as the disputed 2019 F-16 claim resurfaces after his move to FLY91.

World Affairs

Abhinandan Varthaman Joins FLY91 — But India’s 2019 F-16 Story Still Has an Evidence Problem

Abhinandan Varthaman joins FLY91 as the disputed 2019 F-16 claim collides again with US aircraft counts, recovered missiles and the public record.

September 5, 2026
PNS Hunain sailing alongside an Indian naval warship before the disputed North Arabian Sea collision PNS Hunain sailing alongside an Indian naval warship before the disputed North Arabian Sea collision

World Affairs

PNS Hunain–Indian Warship Collision: What Is Confirmed, What Is Propaganda and What the 1991 Agreement Actually Says

Pakistan and India trade blame after a naval collision near Oman as recycled footage, disputed damage claims and treaty questions flood social media.

2 days ago
Advertisement