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The Middle Eastern Cold War Between MBS and MBZ Isn’t Cold Anymore

Saudi–UAE tensions in Yemen have moved from quiet divergence to open confrontation. An EEAT-driven analysis of MBS vs MBZ, Mukalla strikes, Gulf security, and why Pakistan must balance interests without choosing camps.

Yemen's Mukalla Port
  • Become a proxy

  • Be dragged into Yemen militarily

  • Reduce foreign policy to Gulf binaries

The correct posture is principled alignment without operational entanglement.


What Pakistan Should Do (and Not Do)

Do:

  • Support Saudi Arabia’s right to defend its national security

  • Advocate Yemen’s unity and political settlement

  • Offer mediation, not muscle

  • Keep diplomatic channels open with all Gulf partners

  • Reaffirm that Pakistan’s defense agreements are defensive, not expeditionary

Do Not:

  • Pick camps publicly in a way that forecloses diplomacy

  • Participate in proxy conflicts

  • Fear UAE’s US $ 3 Billion parked
  • Allow Pakistani territory, manpower, or credibility to be used indirectly

Defence cooperation is not subcontracted warfare.


This Is Not the End — But It Is the End of Illusions

Saudi–UAE tensions did not begin in Yemen:

  • OPEC disputes (2021)

  • Sudan’s RSF backing

  • Somaliland recognition

  • Competing visions of Gulf order

But Yemen is where abstraction ended.

This is the first time Saudi Arabia:

READ:   Special Investment Facilitation Council (SIFC) Faces Backlash Over Asset Sales in Pakistan

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