6️⃣ The 2023–26 Shift: Why Recent IMF Cycles Look Different
Post-2023, PSX responses to IMF have been stronger due to:
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Near-default conditions prior to SBA
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Severe FX stress reversal
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Global EM liquidity seeking yield
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Heavy domestic retail participation
Example:
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Reserves rose from ~$4.5B to ~$8.2B
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Rupee stabilized
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KSE-100 posted historic single-day and quarterly gains
But even here:
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Gains concentrated in select sectors
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Volatility remained elevated
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Structural issues persisted
7️⃣ The Core Lesson for PSX Investors
IMF programs: